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中金 | 暂停降息才能继续降息
北京时间今天凌晨,美联储 1 月 FOMC 会议决定按兵不动,维持基准利率在 4.25-4.5% 不变,与市场预期一致。会议声明及鲍威尔会后记者会的发言也基本符合预期。由于此次降息前,市场对于美联储暂停降息已有充分准备, CME 利率期货隐含的暂停降息概率高达 99.5% ,因此市场对本次会议的分歧不大,各类资产在会后的表现也较为平淡,美股小幅回调,美债冲高回落,美元基本持平。
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