The chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 hit a record high. Experts expect the risk percentage to fluctuate before likely dropping to zero. Here’s why.
YR4 has a 2.8% to 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.