The odds of a city-killer asteroid impact in 2032 keep rising. Should we be worried?
Two weeks ago, when Ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact with Earth in 2032. NASA's most recent estimate has the likelihood of a strike increasing to 3.2 percent. Now that's not particularly high, but it's also not zero.
"I find this asteroid to be extremely exciting! This is the last chance we have to observe the asteroid from Gemini before 2028." ...
NASA announced that asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 0.28 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but that number is expected to ...
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